Friday, March 4, 2011

THE BIG SHOW REVIEW: Week of 2/28

A long time ago, I came up with the idea of doing this blog for crap shows only because I figured I'd remember the UFCs and PRIDEs. That was 50 UFCs ago, 34 Bellators ago, god knows how many DREAMS, Sengokus, and all the rest. I also don't care about debating fights with trolls anymore, so I decided that I'd just post my opinionz 4 u here in short form.

UFC ON VERSUS 3:

-The main was the thing that really mattered, and what a bad decision that was. I can see Sanchez getting the third because he got a takedown and Kampmann had to run after injuring his hand, but up to that, Kampmann was demolishing him still. And in the first two rounds, he clearly landed more punches and pulverized Sanchez's face. You shouldn't win just because your head is hard and you throw lots of wild shots, but clearly that's the case in MMA. This isn't a 10 point must system issue, its an issue of people not knowing what they are seeing. Not merely comprehension, but paying attention. If you are focused solely on the guy winging bombs and not when the counters land flush over and over, how can you reasonably score a bout?

-Was I the only dude looking at Tavares moving straight back to defend punches thinking "If Roller just comes forward with straight shots, he'll body him"? I guess so. No one thinks like that.

-Pokrajic or whatever still isn't all that good a fighter. Robot standup. Hands down.

-DJ Galloway or whatever that dude's name is who choked on TUF twice getting laid out from a right hand after he pawed with the jab - BASICS BASICS BASICS. And in the first minute, he looked totally dominant too.

-Chris Weidman is a good prospect. Honestly, Sakara is not that great on the mat and if you get him there, you should finish, but he's a vet and Weidman is young. Doesn't need a step up from this fight for years. Just lots of these guys. Also, this guy beat Phil Davis wrestling? How? His shot is slow and he depended on Sakara coming forward to throw to get the distance down for the shot. He had no setups. He couldn't get Sakara to bite hard on any feints.

-Tired of people talking about Brian Bowles like he can't win because he quit over a broken hand. News flash: Tapping is quitting. Everyone accepts quitting in MMA. Everyone. So Bowles did the smart thing in the context of the sport and came back to fight another day. Page wasn't on his level and he showed it countering the wide shots with an uppercut and getting that guillotine afterwards in the scramble.

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PREDICTIONS PREDICTIONS PREDICTIONS

STRIKEFORCE 3/5:

Billy Evangelista vs. Jorge Masvidal: Cashing out Evangelista like this? Masvidal is not easy for anyone to take down, and while Evangelista has decent leg kicks, Gurgel and Clint Coronel had some success coming over the top with punches against those. The big question for me - will Masvidal shoot? If he does, Evangelista is screwed. I like Jorge simply because he has more ways to win.

Tim Kennedy vs. Melvin Manhoef: Kennedy is a small middleweight who does a lot of basic things right and is a solid grappler. Manhoef is a lousy grappler who uses physical strength to make up for errors there and throws wide, wide shots. He also likes roundhouse leg kicks, which to wrestlers are like manna from heaven. Bad style matchup for Manhoef. Not much is said about Melvin's age. He's already in his mid 30s having started late in combat sports. How long of a career can he realistically have?

Marloes Coenen vs. Liz Carmouche: I dunno. I don't break down women's fights because I know jack shit about half the ladies. Coenen beat Becki Levi with a flying armbar and looks good, so she wins in 3 rounds.

Rafael Cavalcante vs. Dan Henderson: Hendo is a strong guy, a good wrestler, and 40. And his punching is all right hand based. Cavalcante outlasted another smaller wrestler recently and then a couple fights ago got lit up by a good size kickboxer. What am I saying? I think this is a pretty even fight. Cavalcante should win and get some buzz off beating Henderson (who is still near the top ten at 205 or in it imo) and that's his biggest career moment.

BELLATOR 35:

Lyman Good vs. Chris Lozano: I think a lot of people are taking the hot pick in Lozano but I go with Good since he's had more big fight experience. Lozano is a good striker and he's got decent size for 170, but you know, beating the hell out of a journeyman 155lb fighter and beating a guy with repeated solid wins at welterweight are two different things. We saw Good have problems with Askren's wrestling. Since when was Lozano a wrestler? He's a thai boxer more than anything.

Dan Hornbuckle vs. Brent Weedman: No idea about Weedman. Won't predict.

Jay Hieron vs. Anthony Lapsley: In past viewings of Lapsley, I've seen him taken down by the likes of Mike Stumpf and John Mahlow. Hieron is one of the best wrestlers at welterweight anywhere. Lapsley often outlasts guys and has better submissions than them. This is unlikely to be the case with Hieron. Expect three rounds of blah.

Rick Hawn vs. Jim Wallhead: Wallhead I've seen with Bellator and he got in with a surprise win. Hawn is old but from a high end team. Doesn't bode well

ENJOY THE FIGHTS!


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